I've heard several times on the news for the past few weeks that many Clinton supporters will not vote for Obama if he becomes candidate. If the news reports are to be believed, it is a fairly widespread phenomenon. That would seem to fracture the Democratic vote and ensure that McCain will get elected. Except that, at the moment, I don't personally know anyone who is excited about McCain. I know several lifelong Republicans who say that there is no way in H E double hockey sticks that they'll vote for McCain. In fact, even on the forums I go to online I'm not sure that there is anyone truly excited about him. Those I know who will vote for him generally say something to the effect of "He's not nearly as bad as Clinton or Obama." So with the democratic vote fractured, and Republicans being lukewarm at best about McCain, does that mean that a third party could get double digit votes in the presidential election this time?
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If ye love wealth better than liberty, the tranquility of servitude than the animated contest of freedom, go from us in peace. May your chains sit lightly upon you, and may posterity forget that you were our countrymen! - Samuel Adams
I have heard that put forth as a possible scenario. Whether it's likely or not I couldn't tell you. But it's not as far fetched as people think. Clinton talked about staying in office until the 2000 election was settled, even though presidents are constitutionally mandated to leave office by Jan. 20th.
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If ye love wealth better than liberty, the tranquility of servitude than the animated contest of freedom, go from us in peace. May your chains sit lightly upon you, and may posterity forget that you were our countrymen! - Samuel Adams
Usually I have sort of a "gut feeling" about who will win elections, whether I like the candidate or not... I haven't had diddely squat feelings about this one. Maybe bok's right.
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Life is tough but it's tougher if you're stupid. -John Wayne