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Post Info TOPIC: Why we won't win in Iraq


Senior Bucketkeeper

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Why we won't win in Iraq


An Arabic proverb best states one reason:

My brother and me against my cousin.  My cousin and me against the stranger.

We're the stranger.  As soon as we leave, they'll be fighting each other.

That's one part.  Another part is this:  Our enemies in Iraq are willing to accept an unlimited amount of casualties.  We are not.  Our enemies in Iraq can recruit an unlimited amount of new fighters willing to die for the cause. We cannot.

They will outlast us.  Our best hope is to hold off a large-scale insurgency while the Iraqis develop a government robust enough to protect its citizens.  Right now, their representatives in government are contentiously developing political fiefdoms while we provide their protection.

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Thanks Harry.

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Profuse Pontificator

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I worry that you are correct, Roper, but think about the alternatives. If we don't stick it out, then Iran and Al Qaeda will surely shift their efforts to Afghanistan, and the situation there will get much worse. And Kurdistan will likely declare its independence, which will draw Turkey in, and Iran will likely take over the Shia movement in Iraq, and the Jihadists will crow about their victory over the US, and our stature in the world will be weakened, and the will of the US people to be involved overseas will evaporate, until another 9/11 or worse.... fear.gif

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Profuse Pontificator

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More thoughts on why we HAVE to win:

http://article.nationalreview.com/?q=MGNmNjVhZjVjNThkOGE1YWVkYTU2YjEyNWIyZmQwM2Y=



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Senior Member

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We have stuck our feet in the muck and I don't see us getting out with our shoes on until the muck dries.  The only thing that held Iraq together was Saddam's dictatorship and now it is trying to find a way to do it under democracy.  Change in the region had to start happening at some point - the sooner the better for our future's sake.

Even the Shia are divided into different factions.  Many Shia in Iraq are not aligned with Iran but there is not doubt Iran has a lot of influence among enough to cause problems.

The reality is, I believe we're going to be involved the Middle East and Southwest Asia for some time...perhaps until the final war. 

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Isn't the final war going to be in the Middle East anyway?

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Understander of unimportant things

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Ditto to everything said thus far. It all has merit.

And this is why it is short sighted and wrong for individuals like Reid, Pelosi, and Murtha to be spouting off the "we've lost, we've lost... run away run away!" lies they have been doing in ever increasing vitriol. We are in it, and we have to be willing to be in it until the other side has lost the will to fight or wait it out. So we have the pattern from the Book of Mormon when it comes to dealing with gadiantan movements.

It is short sighted politics going on, and unfortunately it seems the only thing that is going to wake some of the yahoos up to the danger that still exists is for the enemy to be successful in causing strikes on our shores or the shores of a close ally again. And by then, mark my words, things will have become so divisive that they will not rally around the common good again, but will after a brief period of "mourning" start with the "it's all their fault" pointing at their political opponents and the "we told you so".

Of course, regardless of what happens, with the exception of the UK (most likely), all European "powerbroker" nations will continue to play the role of islamic fundamentalist sycophants and appeasers seeking for the Chamberlain solution.

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Head Chef

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It's hard to bargain with someone who thinks that your very existence is an affront to his God. The extremists need to be wiped out for us to have a chance of convincing the others.

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Wise and Revered Master

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The question is not "Why we won't win" it is "Why we don't want to win" Put me in charge and I can win this tomorrow. Of course the bad areas of Iraq will be rubble pile and the borders will be secured with a shoot first order but we will win.

The problem with war today is that there are so many rules that prevent a truly effective campaign. In WWII we routinely hit civilian targets, churches, shrines, etc. We have decided that war should be civilized and that this is more important than victory.

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Jason



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I agree that if we withdraw from Iraq, the region will quickly degenerate into chaos and civil war. But I'm not optimistic that our presence there will stop that. It just makes our military the target of the violence instead of the various sects fighting against each other. The continual call for patience isn't working anymore. What this administration must do is convince Americans that there's something there worth staying for. So far, I'm not convinced.

If winning means prosecuting a war until we eliminate our enemies' ability to make war and force their surrender, then we won't win. We don't have the political will to make it happen. If winning means engaging in essentially law enforcement and security actions until the Iraqis can survive on their own, then yeah, we might "win." But I still think that's the wrong use of our military.

eta:  Agreed, Jason.

-- Edited by Roper at 12:54, 2007-04-27

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Head Chef

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I agree, Roper. Our military is not a police force, nor should they be. We could win this war if we had the political will. We have tremendous ability to cause mass casualties, but unfortunately civilians would be killed as well. That makes it impossible in the current political environment.
But there's one bright spot; while the terrorists are attacking our soldiers in Iraq, they're not attacking us here.

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If ye love wealth better than liberty, the tranquility of servitude than the animated contest of freedom, go from us in peace. May your chains sit lightly upon you, and may posterity forget that you were our countrymen!
- Samuel Adams
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